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                                                                                                                                                                          银河开户:瑞达期货:乙二醇减仓上行 站上5300关口

                                                                                                                                                                          2019年02月01日 18:33 来源:儿童乐园网

                                                                                                                                                                          (原标题:瑞达期货:乙二醇减仓上行 站上5300关口)

                                                                                                                                                                          盘面情况:大连商品交易所EG1906合约开盘报5290元/吨,最高报5320元/吨,最低报5265元/吨,收盘报5322元/吨,较上一交易日上涨56元/吨,涨幅为1.06%。成交量回落至17.68万手左右,持仓量减少10290手至23.72万手。

                                                                                                                                                                          消息面:1、三江石化年产38万吨的乙二醇装置,于1月31日重启,近期出产品。2、预计下周华东港口预计抵达船37.1万吨,其中张家港初步计划到货20.9万吨,太仓码头计划到货6.2万吨,宁波计划到港6万吨,上海计划到船4万吨。

                                                                                                                                                                          现货价格:2月1日华东乙二醇市场气氛清淡,实单成交较少,2月下期货报盘5170元/吨,递盘在5150元/吨;美金市场报盘有限,实单成交稀少,2月下船货报盘631美元/吨,递盘在625美元/吨。

                                                                                                                                                                          主力持仓:大连商品交易所公布的前二十名持仓显示,EG1906合约买单持仓减少2417手至84318手,卖单持仓减少2996手至86942手,净持仓为卖单2624手,较上一交易日减少1504手,空单降幅高于多单,净空持仓继续回落。

                                                                                                                                                                          观点总结:华东地区乙二醇港口库存约92万吨左右,环比出现回升;预计短期华东港口抵达船货37.1万吨左右,其中张家港预计到货20.9万吨;国内乙烯法乙二醇装置开工率为81%,煤制乙二醇装置开工率为74%;国内供应保持平稳,港口到货量预计增加,库存处于累库;聚酯工厂检修增多,终端厂家已停车放假,下游需求转淡;现货价格呈现小幅震荡;原油上涨带动化工市场氛围,供需偏弱格局仍压制短期乙二醇期价的空间。技术上,EG1906合约减仓上行,期价站上5300元/吨关口,短线呈现震荡走势。操作上,短线5200-5350元/吨区间交易。

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